Weekend Box Office Predictions: June 2 – June 4

The first weekend of June is looking to be a smash at the domestic box office. A strong opening for Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales could translate into an equally strong second week. The impressive run of Marvel’s Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 is looking to continue into June.

And then there’s this little movie. This DC Studios film by the name of Wonder Woman.

Box Office Predictions: Weekend of 6/2

Wonder Woman – $140 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales – $34 million
Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie – $13 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 – $12 million
Baywatch – $7.5 million

Overwhelmingly positive early reviews of the DC solo film starring Gal Gadot will likely lead to Wonder Woman overwhelming the box office this weekend. Fans looking for a critical success from DC will clamor to the film, if the reviews—coming from a lifted studio embargo—do their job.

Falling in under Wonder Woman will be Pirates 5, a film that will suffer a drop from its lackluster reviews. DC will draw some traction away from Guardians Vol. 2, although this too will continue chipping away at a phenomenal box office cume.

Baywatch and Alien: Covenant will struggle to tread water in these high stakes Summer waters. Covenant suffered an enormous 71% drop over the 3-day weekend (63% with the Memorial Day boost). It will slip to the low end of the top ten come Monday.

Baywatch took a similar hit to Pirates on the Tomatometer, but at least Pirates had a lofty opening weekend box office to cushion it going into week two. Baywatch will likely suffer a significant drop in its second weekend, barely holding on in the top five.

Other newcomer Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie (a bold sequel-begging title for a niche animation film), will look to take some profit in via counter-programming. Those too young for Wonder Woman will give the Dav Pilkey book adaptation some cash flow, but even children will be more enticed by Wonder Woman than a film adapted from a 20-year old children’s cartoon.

As always, thanks for reading!

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—Alex Brannan (@TheAlexBrannan)