2017 Golden Globe Awards Predictions – Best Picture

The Golden Globes’ biggest honor is actually a split honor. For better or worse, the awards show divides its Best Picture race into two categories: one signifying the highest achievement in “Drama,” and the other in “Musical or Comedy”

This year, both races are fairly cut and dry with some wiggle room for an upset.


Best Motion Picture – Drama

Will Win: Moonlight

Could Win: Manchester by the Sea

Dark Horse: Hacksaw Ridge


Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Will Win: La La Land

Could Win (But Won’t): Florence Foster Jenkins

Dark Horse: Deadpool


In terms of “Musical or Comedy,” the award is La La Land‘s to lose. The other films on the list all have their merits. It is nice to see a genre picture/crass comedy like Deadpool get critical attention in this way. Sing Street is a wonderful musical. However, La La Land is the type of film Hollywood cannot get enough of, and it is the favorite to rule awards season in 2017.

Drama is a tad more difficult. It is a two horse race between Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea, two films that meditate on the nature of masculinity. Hacksaw Ridge has acclaim behind it, and a nomination for Mel Gibson at director does not hurt. But the race is really a toss up between the films of Jenkins and Lonergan. I’m giving Moonlight the edge because it is a film that does not lean on any one cinematic element to makes its case (also, it has one more nomination than Manchester, so that may show a slight bias on the part of the HFPA).


As always, thanks for reading!

Like CineFiles on Facebook for more updates on the 2017 awards season.

—Alex Brannan (@TheAlexBrannan)


Leave a Reply. We'd love to hear your thoughts!

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.