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2017 Golden Globe Awards Predictions – Best Picture

The Golden Globes’ biggest honor is actually a split honor. For better or worse, the awards show divides its Best Picture race into two categories: one signifying the highest achievement in “Drama,” and the other in “Musical or Comedy”

This year, both races are fairly cut and dry with some wiggle room for an upset.

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Best Motion Picture – Drama

Will Win: Moonlight

Could Win: Manchester by the Sea

Dark Horse: Hacksaw Ridge

 

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Will Win: La La Land

Could Win (But Won’t): Florence Foster Jenkins

Dark Horse: Deadpool

 

In terms of “Musical or Comedy,” the award is La La Land‘s to lose. The other films on the list all have their merits. It is nice to see a genre picture/crass comedy like Deadpool get critical attention in this way. Sing Street is a wonderful musical. However, La La Land is the type of film Hollywood cannot get enough of, and it is the favorite to rule awards season in 2017.

Drama is a tad more difficult. It is a two horse race between Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea, two films that meditate on the nature of masculinity. Hacksaw Ridge has acclaim behind it, and a nomination for Mel Gibson at director does not hurt. But the race is really a toss up between the films of Jenkins and Lonergan. I’m giving Moonlight the edge because it is a film that does not lean on any one cinematic element to makes its case (also, it has one more nomination than Manchester, so that may show a slight bias on the part of the HFPA).

 

As always, thanks for reading!

Like CineFiles on Facebook for more updates on the 2017 awards season.

—Alex Brannan (@TheAlexBrannan)

 

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