Category Archives: Award Ceremonies

My thoughts and predictions, or results and other news on various Award shows.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Final Ballot

The Golden Globes are passed. The guild awards have happened. The Indie Spirits are now spirited away. The Oscars are one week away. It’s time to talk Oscar ballots.

We’ve already covered each Oscar category with more words than you’ll see here. But some variables have changed since then. And as much as I am one to tinker with these sorts of things until the very last minute, it’s time to commit in digital ink the site’s final predictions. Hopefully nothing unforeseen happens in the next six days.

Best Picture

  • All Quiet on the Western Front – Malte Grunert
  • Avatar: The Way of Water – James Cameron, Jon Landau
  • The Banshees of Inisherin – Graham Broadbent, Peter Czerin, Martin McDonagh
  • Elvis – Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick, Schuyler Weiss
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once – Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert, Jonathan Wang
  • The Fabelman – Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner
  • Tár – Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan, Scott Lambert
  • Top Gun: Maverick – Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison, Jerry Bruckheimer
  • Triangle of Sadness – Erik Hemmendorff, Philippe Bober
  • Women Talking – Jeremy Kleiner, Dede Gardner, Frances McDormand

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Final Ballot

How the 2023 Screen Actors Guild Awards Change the Oscar Acting Races

This update is part of our 2023 Oscar predictions series. Check out our full predictions in all Oscar categories.

There were some big moments at yesterday’s Screen Actors Guild (SAG) awards, including some surprises which have implications on the Academy Awards acting races (in three of the four acting categories, anyway).

To begin with, Ke Huy Quan won Best Supporting Actor for Everything Everywhere All at Once. Not the least bit surprising, and this notch in Quan’s awards season belt (the most recent of many) means that Continue reading How the 2023 Screen Actors Guild Awards Change the Oscar Acting Races

Ranking The 2023 Best Picture Oscar Nominees by Their Winning Chances

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Picture, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

This article will attempt to adjudicate the state of the Best Picture race for this year’s Academy Awards, as it stands on Feb 25, 2023. There is still plenty of time for things to change and for this race to become a completely different monster. So take this all with that grain of salt in mind.


10. Women Talking

Despite critical acclaim, Sarah Polley’s Women Talking did not show up on Oscar nomination morning. Given the film’s (very) early buzz, it could have picked up Continue reading Ranking The 2023 Best Picture Oscar Nominees by Their Winning Chances

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Director

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Director, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Director

  • Martin McDonagh — The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert — Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Steven Spielberg — The Fabelmans
  • Todd Field — Tár
  • Ruben Ostlund — Triangle of Sadness

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Director

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Actress and Best Actor

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Actor and Best Actress, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Actress

  • Ana de Armas – Blonde
  • Cate Blanchett – Tár
  • Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie
  • Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
  • Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Actress and Best Actor

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Animated Short, Best Live Action Short, Best Documentary Short Film

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Animated Short Film, Best Documentary Short Subject, and Best Live Action Short Film, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Live Action Short Film

  • An Irish Goodbye
  • Ivalu
  • Night Ride
  • The Pupils
  • The Red Suitcase

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Animated Short, Best Live Action Short, Best Documentary Short Film

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Animated Feature, Best Documentary, Best International Film

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Animated Film, Best Documentary Film, and Best International Film part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Animated Feature

  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
  • Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
  • The Sea Beast
  • Turning Red

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Animated Feature, Best Documentary, Best International Film

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • The Fabelmans
  • Tár
  • Triangle of Sadness

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Original Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Visual Effects and Best Makeup & Hairstyling

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Makeup & Hairstyling and Best Visual Effects, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • The Batman
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • The Whale

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Visual Effects and Best Makeup & Hairstyling

2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Production Design and Best Costume Design

These are our 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Production Design and Best Costume Design, part of a series on this year’s awards. Check out full predictions in all Oscar categories.

Best Costume Design

  • Babylon
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Will Win: Continue reading 2023 Academy Awards Predictions — Best Production Design and Best Costume Design