Tag Archives: Predictions

2019 Summer Movie Wager – Box Office Predictions

After intense debating on the /Filmcast, it was decided that Avengers: Endgame is to be included in the annual Summer Movie Wager, a game of box office predictions, in spite of Endgame not technically being released within the Summer movie season (which is arbitrarily defined on Box Office Mojo as the first weekend of May through Labor Day weekend).

That said, the number one spot in the competition is all-but sealed up. Endgame is set to, at the very least, match Infinity War in sales. So barring some failure in storytelling that tanks the word of mouth on the film, it will take the top line.

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For those unfamiliar with the Summer Movie Wager, it is a competition in which players pick the top 10 highest grossing films of the Summer season, plus three “dark horse” predictions. Here are the official scoring rules, as per the /Filmcast: Continue reading 2019 Summer Movie Wager – Box Office Predictions

2019 Academy Awards Predictions – Final Ballot

In January, I made my Academy Awards predictions for 2019. Since then, a lot has changed. Some of my original predictions should be considered null and void. That said, the following predictions are by no means expert predictions. And most importantly, the Academy Awards are not the end-all be-all of filmmaking achievement in a given year. There are plenty of films that the Academy chose not to honor that are deserving of some attention.

In any case, here are my final predictions for the 2019 Oscars.

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Legend

Will Win: My pick to win

Upset Watch: A potential spoiler

Could Win: The race is too close to call it an upset, or I am picking against the favorite

Should Win: My personal favorite(s) out of the nominees

 

Best Picture

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2019 Oscar Predictions – Best Original Song and Best Original Score

I don’t think there is an awful lot to say about the 2019 races for Best Original Song and Best Original Score. One is barely a race, and the other has a standout front-runner with only minor competition.

This isn’t to say that the two categories are complete locks, but they are both pretty darn close.

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The Nominees – Best Original Song:

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2019 Oscar Predictions – Best Production Design

Best Production Design is not necessarily the easiest Oscar category to predict in any given year, but there are clear signposts that make a film’s production design “Oscar worthy.” Period settings. Visually-striking set dressing. Something lavish, or else something historical.

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The Nominees:

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2019 Oscar Predictions – Best Live Action Short Film

Best Live Action Short Film may be the single hardest category to predict. Rarely does a front-runner appear, and even when one does an upset is always a possible scenario. I have a feeling that the winners in this category generally win by slim margins, as the vote comes down to personal preference over cultural or political relevance.

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The Nominees:

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2019 Oscar Predictions – Best Documentary Short Subject

The short film categories are some of the hardest to predict. These films don’t receive traditional Oscar campaigns, which would act to suss out front-runners. In lieu of that, one must look at general trends, distributors, aesthetic qualities, and word of mouth.

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The Nominees:

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