Category Archives: Movie News

Summer 2024 Box Office Predictions

Update (4/27/24): Following publication of this article, Sony announced it would be pushing the release of Kraven the Hunter to December 2024, moving it out of the summer box office conversation. Turns out I, in fact, did mention this film more times than I needed to.

We are about to enter a bleak summer for theatrical cinema. For several reasons – chief among them the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes of last year causing delays – 2024 has less to offer than previous years when it comes to big budget blockbuster tentpoles. Even with first quarter offerings like Dune: Part Two, Ghostbuster: Frozen Empire, and Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (between the three, Hollywood may be tipping a tad too imperial), the box office is lagging behind 20% compared to the numbers from this time last year. Deadline reports a projected $1 billion drop in box office by year’s end.

The summer will likely be where this deficit is felt the hardest. Whereas most May months of recent years (pandemic year 2020 notwithstanding) have begun with Continue reading Summer 2024 Box Office Predictions

Fantasia Festival 2020 — Lineup Rundown

The 2020 Fantasia International Film Festival announced its third wave of titles today. The festival, which focuses on genre filmmaking and is normally held in Montreal, will take place entirely online between August 20 and September 2. Although it will be accessible only to Canadian audiences, the festival often runs quality genre films that may be good to keep on your radar for their future VOD releases.

Now that the full festival lineup has been announced, let’s take a look at a handful of titles.

 

The Reckoning (d. Neil Marshall)

The fest’s opening film comes from Neil Marshall, director of the excellent The Descent and, more recently, Continue reading Fantasia Festival 2020 — Lineup Rundown

2020 — The Year without a Blockbuster

[Update, 6.12.20: A day after this piece posted, The Hollywood Reporter reported that Wonder Woman 1984 had moved its release date to October 2, and that Tenet had pushed back two weeks to a July 31 release date. This alters some of the context of this article—namely, that now (at least for the time being) Disney’s Mulan has the earliest release date of any major studio release, not Tenet. But these changes also reflect the main argument raised in this article: It is becoming increasingly uncertain whether any major release will see substantial theatrical exhibition for the remainder of 2020]

 

Marvel’s Black Widow was scheduled to release on May 1.

That was over a month ago. Now in mid-June, we have watched many high profile film releases slip away like sand between fingers. The decision in March to hold off on the release of the new James Bond film, No Time to Die, was the first domino to fall. Since then, theaters have shuttered, and although cities across the United States have begun to re-open, most theaters’ doors remain closed.

The largest of these theater chains, AMC (which is owned by Dalian Wanda Group), have plans to reopen all of its U.S. theaters in Continue reading 2020 — The Year without a Blockbuster

2019 Summer Movie Wager – Box Office Predictions

After intense debating on the /Filmcast, it was decided that Avengers: Endgame is to be included in the annual Summer Movie Wager, a game of box office predictions, in spite of Endgame not technically being released within the Summer movie season (which is arbitrarily defined on Box Office Mojo as the first weekend of May through Labor Day weekend).

That said, the number one spot in the competition is all-but sealed up. Endgame is set to, at the very least, match Infinity War in sales. So barring some failure in storytelling that tanks the word of mouth on the film, it will take the top line.

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For those unfamiliar with the Summer Movie Wager, it is a competition in which players pick the top 10 highest grossing films of the Summer season, plus three “dark horse” predictions. Here are the official scoring rules, as per the /Filmcast: Continue reading 2019 Summer Movie Wager – Box Office Predictions

2018 Summer Box Office Predictions

Every year, I like playing a little game of Summer box office predictions. The rules are simple (and the game is played officially at Trivia Club and /Film, if you’re interested): Pick which 10 films, and three dark horse candidates, that you think will gross the most money domestically during the Summer movie season.

This year, the game’s outlets are shifting their definition of what the Summer movie season is in order to include Avengers: Infinity War. Avengers was initially slated for release on the first weekend of May, but Disney pushed its release up a week.

For the sake of this article, I’m just going to keep the traditional definition of Summer movie season, which is the first weekend of May to Labor Day weekend. It kind of makes the predicting harder, given that Avengers is almost certainly going to be the highest grossing movie of the year, and if the film were included in this competition it would be number one with a bullet.

All the same, this year’s crop of Summer movies is pretty strange from a box office standpoint.

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The Top Ten: Continue reading 2018 Summer Box Office Predictions

The Ending of Avengers: Infinity War Kind of Ruins itself

Note: As you can see with the title of this article, this discussion of Avengers: Infinity War contains massive spoilers about the ending of the film. So don’t read this if you haven’t seen the film and want to see it spoiler-free.

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All right. I even put a picture in-between the spoiler warning and the spoilers. Just in case. So now you can’t say I didn’t warn you. Continue reading The Ending of Avengers: Infinity War Kind of Ruins itself

Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 18 – 20

Box Office Breakdown: Weekend of August 18

  1. The Hitman’s Bodyguard – $21.6 million
  2. Annabelle: Creation – $15.5 million
  3. Logan Lucky – $8.05 million
  4. Dunkirk – $6.7 million
  5. The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature – $5.1 million
  6. The Emoji Movie – $4.35 million
  7. Spider-Man: Homecoming – $4.25 million
  8. Girls Trip – $3.84 million
  9. The Dark Tower – $3.72 million
  10. Wind River – $3.02 million

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Another grueling August weekend at the domestic box office in the books. Summer 2017 is looking to Continue reading Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 18 – 20

Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 11 – 13

Box Office Results: Weekend of August 11

  1. Annabelle: Creation – $35 million
  2. Dunkirk – $11.4 million
  3. The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature – $8.93 million
  4. The Dark Tower – $7.87 million
  5. The Emoji Movie – $6.6 million
  6. Girls Trip – $6.52 million
  7. Spider-Man: Homecoming – $6.1 million
  8. Kidnap – $5.22 million
  9. The Glass Castle – $4.87 million
  10. Atomic Blonde – $4.57 million

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August continues to be a slow month at the box office. The latest in the Conjuring franchise, Annabelle: Creation took number one, earning over Continue reading Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 11 – 13

Weekend Box Office Predictions: August 11 – 13

Last weekend was the slowest of the Summer, financially. The Dark Tower topped the list with an under-performing $19 million. Can it hold on to its crown with three new movies on the horizon: Annabelle: Creation, The Nut Job 2, and The Glass Castle?

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Box Office Predictions: Weekend of 8/11

Continue reading Weekend Box Office Predictions: August 11 – 13

Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 4 – 6

Box Office Results: Weekend of August 4

  1. The Dark Tower – $19.5 million
  2. Dunkirk – $17.6 million
  3. The Emoji Movie – $12.35 million
  4. Girls Trip – $11.41 million
  5. Kidnap – $10.21 million
  6. Spider-Man: Homecoming – $8.8 million
  7. Atomic Blonde – $8.24 million
  8. Detroit – $7.25 million
  9. War for the Planet of the Apes – $6 million
  10. Despicable Me 3 – $5.28 million

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August is off to a slow start in 2017, with a season low estimated cume. Newcomer The Dark Tower leads the pack with Continue reading Weekend Box Office Breakdown: August 4 – 6